Tuesday, 23 September 2014

9 predictions for this century

As a scientist it is really easy to draw conclusions based on assumptions and past data. Many of my students have constantly asked me about my views of the future. Although I sometimes have doubts over my own findings but on the back of overwhelming requests from the student community I would like to put down few of the things I think would probably happen in the future.

I request all to have an academic approach to all these statements and not rule them out completely. I have also given the logic for why I believe these could be the realities of our world by the end of this century. Here goes.

1. There would be no countries left in the world. Concept of nationality would cease to exist. Or at least cease to exist in its current form.

Reason- We are moving to more a unified and transparent world. Eventually economies and countries would move towards cooperation and collaboration and in turn unity. National leaders would see more merit in bringing resources together for more efficient welfare of their citizens and economies of scale would involuntarily become the theme for getting them together.

What would the world look like- Based on the current state of world affairs, we would probably have 
a) Capitalist Bloc (made of more right wing capitalist economies- led by USA)- but by current standards this bloc would be much more socialist in nature.
b) Eastern Bloc (as the name suggests the socialist economies- led by China/Russia)- would be more capitalist that the commies today- would possibly include a few European nations which would come of the Eurozone and join this bloc
c) Islamic Bloc - Islamic nations would come together to form a peaceful union
d) Non Aligned Bloc - Bloc where constituent countries would have more freedom to choose their policies.
e) Other remaining so called countries which be forced to merge to the above due to economic pressures.

2. Eurozone would not exist. or a large part of it would join the Capitalist Bloc.

Reason- Eurozone is its current form is a mess and gives little freedom to the constituent members to choose policies for the welfare of its people. The pace at which countries would reach Economic Growth Plateau (EGP) will be phenomenally higher in the coming years and would force the more economically and technologically backward countries to succumb to social pressure and would lead to the demise of the Eurozone as we know it.

What would the world look like-The more indebted countries would possibly join the Eastern Bloc. The rest would by default have to join the Capitalist Bloc to safeguard vested interests of the wealthy.

3. World Population will cross 20 billion and most of them would be old- God bless the young.

Reason- Technological advancements. Africa and Islamic Bloc would become peaceful places to live and would add for bulk of that increase.

What would the world look like- Much of the developed world would be filled with old people who would have lots of savings and all that pension money would go to the lesser developed economies for better returns. Unemployment in the developed world would reach unprecedented levels and would lead to increased crime. The Capitalist Bloc hence would make it costly for the industry to outsource by landing sanctions which would in turn force corporations to move their base to the Non Aligned Blocs or Mars.

4. Unemployment would cross 20% and world growth would stagnate at least for a few decades. Makes me wonder if we are probably at the best time in the short term history of mankind.

Reason- Technological advancements. Manufacturing jobs would mostly be automated. Agriculture would require little human intervention. Service sector would contribute to 80% of all employment in the world.

What would the world look like- Not a very pleasant place for a young graduate. Competition would drive a lot of youth in to depression and drug addiction. Crime rates would soar. 

5. Crude would trade below 10 dollars a barrel.

Reason- Climate Change would be serious stuff by that time. All cars on gas would be banned and would probably use more energy efficient engines- may even work on nuclear energy. Oil would be used only for industrial purposes.

What would the world look like- Much more environment friendly. Much more greener. 

6. Religion as we know would cease to exist-  Over 50% of human population would become Atheistic or Agnostic.

Reason- Increasing mobile work environments would force people to move out of roots to far off opportunities and eventually lose touch with their religious beliefs. Not that people stop believing in the supernatural- Just that they would start doubting the scriptures.

What would the world look like- Some groups would possibly outlaw practicing religion due to  the ill effects of its extremes. Only a few groups within the Islamic Bloc and the Non Aligned Bloc would openly propagate it.

7. Mars would be colonized and would have an economy of its own with a population  of over a million people.

Reason- Technological advancements. Resources at throwaway prices. Presented as the land of opportunities, the first settlers of Mars would probably be Handymen, Plumbers and our regular mechanics who would be lured into moving to Mars for higher paychecks. With high unemployment levels on Earth, moving to Mars may not seem like a very bad idea at that time.

What would the world look like- There would be terrorist organizations that would try to disrupt the process of human migration to Mars and possibly even scare common men from the same. Political parties would also be forced to choose sides. Corporations in the mean time will have the last laugh.

8. Cannabis would be legal in most countries- and more than 20% of the human population would be classified as Full Addicts but not to Cannabis, but a more addictive and cheaper drug which is not invented yet.

Reason- At a time when the world population would be touching close to 20 billion, widespread unemployment would lead to disillusionment among the youth. Cannabis would lose its charm due to its legal status. The more cheaper and potent drug would be easier to produce and would be untraceable by any medical tests.

What would the world look like- The youth would have a tough time to stay away from getting hooked on to the future drug. While the older population would be happy with weed, their children would secretly be destroying their nervous systems.

9. Marriage Rates would go up again but after going lower

Reason- Sometime in between this century, the world would celebrate real women empowerment. This would make the women more career oriented and marriages would become a very unattractive option for many singles. Homosexuality would be out of the closet and unlike earlier estimates more than 20% the world population would identify themselves as non-heterosexuals. Administration would be forced to incentivize marriages to create more babies. So economics would make marriages happen again.

What would the world look like- Marriages would increasing happen for convenience and children would be conceived primarily to enjoy economic incentives.

Tuesday, 8 April 2014

Bi-Polarization & The Ugly Truth of Life or Why the Anarchist just won't go away

Although I continue to believe that Bi-Polarization or its another form Multi-Polarization can lead to some very interesting revelations about the nature of our Universe, however we will keep this one to explain the more simpler stuff.

For this, I would like introduce two new primary classifications of Life- the Anarchist and the Conformist. If I were to ask any of you- "Which category would you like to be called?" Although bulk of you would think you would fall in between the Anarchist and the Conformist with varying degree however no one would like to believe that we are not answering the question correctly. The question is paradoxical by its very nature. What you are and what you would like to be called are two different things. A person might be a murderer but would like to be seen as a respectable man in the society. A total slut would want to been seen as the perfect wife material. You would want to be seen as a nice guy but you might be the biggest bully around. In short the Anarchist is formed out of an instance of Space-time. When randomness does its tricks, circumstances and the Extreme Conformists in their mindless pursuit of power and wealth tend to create Polarized Memes in the society. These Memes in their last bid to survive capture hosts who fulfill its goals through Anarchy.

Anarchy can be of varying degrees. A crazy mob that butchers an entire village would be classified as an extreme form; or an rebellious teen who steals money from his dad is mild one. The Anarchists would continue to exist even if we eradicate it all levels. Anarchy arises out of situations- some are grave and some are just funny. Anarchy exists because of the continued projection of the Conformist meme and their extreme propaganda. Conformists can sometimes be extremely ruthless. Even if the Anarchists are destroyed by the Conformist to some extent they come in new shapes and forms. Sometimes if the Anarchist movement becomes too strong it can even win. The American Declaration of Independence and all independent nations who had a freedom struggle would come under this category. Anarchists need not even have a shape or form- it can just be ideas. Anonymous would be one.The Hippie era. Vegeterianism??

Here comes the ugly truth of Life. Even if we are some how able to create the best environments in the world to ensure equality & dignity our Life and no man gets left behind either economically, socially or emotionally, the human psyche continues to chase extreme conformism. Till this chase lasts, the other end of the spectrum would linger on. Yes that's right. People are not poor because they don't have enough money- They are poor because other people have more of it. So when some people have more money than others, the ones in the middle follow without endlessly because of a life time's constant brainwash by the Conformist Agenda.

Now let me ask my question again in a different way: Are you an Anarchist or a Conformist?